When setting your weekly NFL DFS lineups, it can be just as helpful to have an idea of whom you DON’T want to include as whom you do. Every Friday we’ll highlight a few players that you might want to fade. When a player appears here, it mainly refers to fading him in cash games. If you play in a lot of large field, multi-entry tournaments, you might consider just being underweight on these players relative to the field rather than not using them at all.
Players I’m fading for Week 13 include:
Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
Ryan is certainly due for a rebound performance after three awful efforts, but I don’t think it’s going to materialize this weekend. One of his worst games came just two weeks ago vs. the Saints, who remain a formidable defense. New Orleans allows the fifth-fewest real points and third-fewest overall fantasy points per game. Moreover, they rank 30th in fantasy points allowed to QBs. With both Calvin Ridley and Julio Jones questionable at best, Ryan looks to be in for another hard day. If you’re bent on saving salary at QB, I prefer Mike Glennon to Ryan this week.
Baker Mayfield, QB Cleveland Browns
Another salary-saver, albeit in a much better matchup, that I’m fading is Mayfield. The theme with this team has been pretty consistent. They run the ball, and then they run the ball again and again. Limiting what Mayfield is asked to do has been a great strategy for the Browns, and they come into this week’s AFC matchup 8-3. The Titans are typically a great QB matchup (though they’re nearly as generous when it comes to running backs), and this game carries the highest point totals of the week. I guess Mayfield could feasibly make it into a tournament lineup, but for the most part, it’s Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt that I’m targeting big this week.
Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers
Adams is the most expensive wide receiver everywhere, and for good reason. He has more huge games than anyone else. But past performance doesn’t guarantee a 30-fantasy point game, and that’s what he needs at his current price. I think he’ll have a fine day, I just don’t think the Packers are going to have to try very hard in this one. My favorite play of the game is the Packers D/ST, followed by Jamaal Williams. The more expensive players might be fine, but I’m betting on similar production for less in what should be an easy win.
Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints
Kamara gets a fade asterisk, because he is dealing with a foot injury and it’s probable that this is contributing to his sharing considerable time with Latavius Murray lately. He’s just another player that I’m unwilling to pay up for, especially if you consider that Atlanta has gone from being one of the worst defenses in the league to one of the best in the past few weeks. For the season, they allow the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. Kamara isn’t usually a player I worry about the matchup with, but in the context of his injury and Murray’s recent performance…it’s a no-go.
DK Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks
I don’t have the strong feeling that everyone should fade Metcalf in every situation this weekend, but I haven’t slotted him in yet, so I’m including him here. Russell Wilson is coming off three really bad games, his worst of the season. The Giants’ defense has been decent this season, and they currently are averaging fewer than 23 real points per game. A Wilson bounce-back, at home, wouldn’t surprise me, but if I’m targeting a Seahawks’ receiver, it’s Tyler Lockett this week, not Metcalf. I think that Lockett has a good chance of racking up a bunch of short catches, maybe a score, and that the big plays Metcalf is famous for will be missing from this game.
Travis Fulgham, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
There’s not a single player on the Eagles I feel good about rostering this weekend. I’m high on the Packers’ D, and they are an offensive mess. Fulgham was one of the bright spots for a minute or two earlier this season, but his last three games prove that the team no longer values what he can do. In Week 12, he had a paltry two targets, catching both, but the two games prior to that had a catch rate of just two-of-twelve. Officially fading all Eagles until further notice.
Players I like, but who are expected to have high ownership in Week 13 include: Kirk Cousins, Ryan Tannehill, Nick Chubb, Justin Jefferson, Brandin Cooks, A.J. Brown, Austin Ekeler, Aaron Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Dolphins D/ST, Seattle D/ST, Packers D/ST. You might consider deviating away from this player pool and pivoting in large GPPs if you’re after a more unique lineup.