Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Canal breaks down how coronavirus second wave fears could impact live events.
Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Canal breaks down how coronavirus second wave fears could impact live events.
Asian stocks rose Monday, tracking a healthy lead from Wall Street as bargain-buyers moved in following a recent sell-off, though advances were limited by worries about fresh virus spikes and the reimposition of economically damaging containment measures.
In these pandemic-stricken times, Carla Bruni’s Gallic insouciance is a breath of fresh air. She refers to her husband, the former French President Nicolas Sarkozy as “my man;” and the novel coronavirus she calls “the coveed.”“It’s so strange. My God. So strange!” she remarks in her airy voice. “I’m just like everyone else, I guess. Happy to be alive!”She’s been cooped up in the South of France with her mother, aunt, sister and her children, as well as Sarkozy, during the deadly contagion, chortling as she recounts how her mother has been “getting on her nerves” and “treating me like I’m 12.”When I mention that many in America have continually refused to wear face masks during the outbreak, owing to some strange libertarian notion that it treads on their personal freedoms, she lets out a big gasp. “That’s crazy!” she exclaims. “Are there really people that do that? Treading on their rights?! It’s their duty!”Amy Coney Barrett Has Broken John Oliver: It Is ‘Hopeless’Bruni, 52, has rung me to discuss her sixth studio album, Un grand amour, her first made up of original material in seven years, which will be released Oct. 9. Like most of her oeuvre, it’s a light, sensuous affair brimming with love and longing. “It’s not dark at all. The mood wasn’t coming from the coveed,” she offers. “Last November, I just got some very alive vibes, very alive feelings, and wrote the album in a very joyful situation. I don’t know why! But that’s the way it was.” A pregnant pause fills the air. “Some people near to me died. It was quite personal. And every time I get near death, it gives me a strange flow of energy, and desire, and makes me so scared that I have to compensate for it. After the grief, and after the pain of losing someone, somehow, I have a burst of life in my mind, and in my heart.”Bruni wrote nine of the 15 songs on the album during COVID confinement, and 30 in total. “It takes a lot of potatoes to make a very pure, small glass of vodka,” she says.Once the quarantine was lifted, Bruni and her band convened at a recording studio in Paris, where they recorded the album live in just six days—wearing masks in-between sessions, with musicians separated by a series of rotating walls. The effect is intimate and sweeping at once. “Everyone is playing at the same time, so there’s a movement that you don’t have where you do it like a cheesecake, where it’s layer-by-layer—the piano, the guitar, the vocals. We did it all at the same time,” recalls Bruni.The chanteuse says she’s most inspired by “being sensitive,” and harbors a borderline obsession with amour fou—as on the track “Your Lady,” her first tune in English. “I like desperate songs. Impossible things. Impossible things are very inspiring—even more than possible things,” she coos. “I love to write about impossible love.”* * *In the ‘90s, Bruni was one of the top fashion models in the world, earning millions a year working the runways for Dior, Versace, Chanel, and Saint-Laurent, whilst romancing Mick Jagger, Eric Clapton, and Kevin Costner, to name a few.She looks back on her champagne-popping, blue steel-flashing catwalk era fondly—save for one bizarre episode with a vainglorious real estate mogul by the name of Donald J. Trump.According to Harry Hurt III’s Trump biography Lost Tycoon: The Many Lives of Donald J. Trump, which contained eye-opening details from first wife Ivana Trump’s divorce deposition—including an allegation of rape against her then-husband—Bruni conned the Don, who appeared to be infatuated with her, into gifting her last-minute hotel accommodations at his Plaza Hotel:> Carla mischievously informed Donald that her ‘sister’ was coming to town. He immediately offered to provide a room at the Plaza Hotel. The visitor was actually one of Carla's longtime female friends, who showed up at the Plaza with a boyfriend in tow. Carla and her friends spent the next few days ordering room service and gloating over the way they fooled the ‘King of Tacky.’Then things got truly weird. On June 26, 1991, the New York Post ran a cover story about Trump splitting from his then-girlfriend Marla Maples, and alleging that Trump had left her for Bruni. (Bruni denied it to the press, saying she’d only crossed paths with Trump a few times and calling him “a lunatic.”)When I recite the book passage to Bruni, she laughs hysterically. “It’s half-true, half-not true. My friend went to the Plaza with her boyfriend for a week in New York, and I did ask Mr. Trump at the time if I could get a room there. But I wasn’t there. I was actually in Europe. I met Donald Trump very rarely, maybe twice,” she maintains.Bruni didn’t really give the whole curious episode much thought until recently when she watched the Netflix documentary Trump: An American Dream, and saw scenes of Trump impersonating his own press agent and phoning the tabloids to claim he was dating everyone from Kim Basinger and Madonna to Bruni.“I watched this Netflix documentary, and [Trump] called that woman that was a journalist and she recorded that. And he talked as if he was his own press agent!” says Bruni, giggling. “And we could hear in the recording that so many women were after him, like me, Kim Basinger, and Madonna. Madonna literally hates Trump! She must have had a heart attack!”Bruni tells me that she then confronted Trump about the bogus dating rumors. “He started making things up, so I gave him a call and he said, ‘Oh, it doesn’t matter. It’s coming from journalists.’ And I said, ‘This is not real! We’ve never really met! How can it come from a journalist?!’” she remembers. “It was a really strange situation. But then I realized that was just his way of functioning. That is how he functions with everything and everybody.”* * *It surprised many when, in the early aughts, Bruni transitioned seamlessly from supermodel to bestselling recording artist. Her 2002 debut album, Quelqu’un m’a dit, sold over 2 million copies, garnered rave views, and has had its songs featured in everything from the film (500) Days of Summer to the U.K. television series Skins.And, if globetrotting fashion model or musical star weren’t enough, Bruni achieved a third act following her 2008 marriage to then-French President Nicolas Sarkozy: first lady of France. Clad in Dior, the statuesque Bruni was undoubtedly the most glamorous first lady since Jackie O. When it comes to the current first lady of the United States, Melania Trump, well, Bruni prefers discussing Michelle Obama.“Well, Melania is beautiful. But I was crazy about Michelle Obama. She was so charming in life, and so warm,” says Bruni. “I’ve never met Melania. I have a hard time judging someone I’ve never met because people can be so different from their image. When you’re in that position you get very paranoid and filled with fear. I don’t think the style of the first lady depends very much on the way she dresses—it’s more the vibe and what she does for people.” She continues, “You have the power to help other people, and those are my best memories. So… I think Melania will be judged more through that. I love what Michelle Obama did for nutrition in America. She did a great job. I hope Melania has the occasion of… helping other people.”While there have been rumblings that her embattled husband is considering another political run, Bruni appears grateful to be relieved of the anxiety that comes with being the first couple of France.“To tell you the truth, when my husband was the president I was just scared all the time—that something might happen in the world, that something might happen to him,” she confesses. “I was stressed for him. But I tried to be professional and cool. I’m not the type of woman who gets involved in the person I love’s [business], so I didn’t want to do something wrong.”She pauses again. “The danger is so high when you’re the president of the French Republic. And you feel that danger.”Bruni received a great deal of unwarranted scrutiny during her time as first lady due to her modeling past. Mere months after her wedding to Sarkozy, a nude photograph of Bruni taken in 1993 sold at auction for $91,000; months after that, she was forced to sue the clothing company Pardon for producing a line of luxury bags decorated with another nude photo of her from ‘93. She says it was a violation of sorts, though remains proud of her past. “I don’t deny that part of my life, although when it came out it was embarrassing,” she says. “But I was 25 so I looked good.”With our conversation coming to a close, Bruni bids me adieu—and with it, a parting message of positivity: “I hope you get good elections there!”Read more at The Daily Beast.Got a tip? Send it to The Daily Beast hereGet our top stories in your inbox every day. Sign up now!Daily Beast Membership: Beast Inside goes deeper on the stories that matter to you. Learn more.
Across decades and presidencies, he excelled at the sort of deal-making that no longer seems possible. Here are his most indelible lessons for getting and keeping power in the capital.
Schools finding success are deploying methods health experts have recommended for months for the whole country to keep the virus under control.
It might be the last chance for Trump to shake up a race that's been remarkably stable.
Preserve America, a new super PAC backing Trump, has aired $80 million in ads in the past month, becoming one of the biggest forces in 2020.
With only weeks before the election, there aren’t many voters who haven’t made up their minds already about the president’s long and checkered history with women.
Trump told reporters "actually I paid tax," but said he would not release returns on his own because they are under IRS audit.
Shares in China's biggest chip maker tumbled Monday on reports that Washington had imposed export controls on the company, the latest salvo in the battle for technological dominance over Beijing.
President paid just $750 in federal income taxes in 2016 and 2017, report says
South Korean President Moon Jae-in apologized for the first time Monday for the death of a man who was shot by North Korean troops last week, saying his government failed in its responsibility to safeguard a citizen. The shooting triggered outrage and criticism that Seoul apparently wasted hours to rescue the South Korean official who was found adrift in North Korean waters before his death last Tuesday. While the shooting drew a rare apology from North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, the North has largely passed the blame to the man who was killed, saying that he refused to answer questions and attempted to flee before North Korean troops fired at him.
As the coronavirus claimed its millionth life, people in Wuhan expressed sadness Monday at the continuing global impact of the pandemic -- more than nine months after it emerged in the central Chinese city.
Follow the latest updates
More than one million people have died from the coronavirus, according to an AFP toll, with no let-up in a pandemic that has ravaged the world economy, inflamed diplomatic tensions and upended lives from Indian slums and Brazilian jungles to America's biggest city.
After Donald Trump’s surprise victory in 2016, some Democrats are reluctant to believe the numbersThe numbers are looking pretty good for Democrats in Arizona. The party’s Senate candidate is up more than five points in polling averages, and Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by more than three points in the same averages. If those numbers hold, the state could hand Democrats the Senate and Biden the White House in one fell swoop.But a key Democratic organizer in the state can’t say whether he thinks the numbers will hold – because he does not believe the numbers exist in the first place.“I would say the polls are a mirage,” said Larry Bodine, president of the Democrats of Greater Tucson group. “After 2016, I decided from then on, I was just not going to rely on what the polls had to say, and instead rely on what my fellow Democratic volunteers encounter out in the field.”Inside Democratic party offices from coast to coast, and under a good number of roofs where anti-Trump voters dwell, polling results that show promise for Biden and down-ticket Democrats are being handled with a similar mix of arms-length trepidation and not-today-Satan refusal. Feeling they were misled by polling to believe that Hillary Clinton was a shoo-in in 2016, only to be ambushed by Trump’s win, many progressives in 2020 vow that they’re done with the numbers game.“I’m really active in Democratic circles and pretty much nobody talks about the polls,” said Bodine. “I believe that all the positive polls do is give a false sense of security.”That attitude seems to have little downside for political organizers. But the question of the reliability of polling has broader implications for campaigns, for public policy – and ultimately for daily American life, on issues ranging from racial discrimination in interactions with police to skepticism about a potential coronavirus vaccine.Ultimately, the health of polling is bound up in the health of the democracy, analysts say. Asking people what they think is, among other things, an expression of faith that what the American people think matters – a notion that can seem even more worthwhile amid Trump’s demand to “get rid of the ballots” in November.With those stakes hanging overhead, and under intense public scrutiny on the eve of a watershed election, pollsters across the country have made adjustments to address their mistakes of 2016 and are working hard to capture an accurate snapshot of 2020.The picture is not simple. While some key state polls were off in 2016, the national polls in aggregate were right on target, showing Clinton three points ahead at the end; she won the popular vote by two points but lost in the electoral college.The mistakes last time, according to a full buffet of postmortem analyses, included: pollsters did not have an eye on educational attainment as a potential fault line in the electorate; they were foiled by an unusual wave of undecided voters breaking for Trump at the last minute; there was too little polling in key swing states to really know what was going on; conclusions extrapolated from that paucity of data were broadcast with far too much certainty; and there might have been some “shy” Trump voters who didn’t want to say they were supporting him.The results remain a political shock. In the final days of the 2016 election, the “average” of the scant polling in Wisconsin had Clinton ahead 6.5 points. In Michigan, Clinton’s average “lead” was 3.6 points, while in Pennsylvania it was what looks in retrospect like an extremely tenuous 2.1 points. Yet Trump won all three states and with them the White House. The immediate criticism of the Clinton campaign was that it had failed to visit the upper Midwest, taking the voters of Michigan and Wisconsin for granted, lulled by the siren song of reassuring polls.But have the polls improved since then? Changes since last timeThe well-known and widely followed Franklin & Marshall College poll based in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, had Clinton ahead by double digits in the state in its last poll before the 2016 election. Trump won the state by a razor margin of fewer than 50,000 votes, or less than a percentage point.The director of the poll, G Terry Madonna, said an unusual wave of late-deciding voters mostly breaking in the same direction – toward Trump – created the polling blind spot.“In some cases, including ours, we were out of the field, meaning we completed the interviews, 10 days before the election,” Madonna said. “What we found in exit polls was that in the last 10 days 20-some per cent of voters made up their mind or they changed their mind and then went for Trump far more than for Clinton.”Madonna said this year the poll would stay in the field longer – and he sees fewer undecided voters this time.“When you have 85-90% of Republicans saying they approve of the job Trump’s doing, and Democrats are in single digits – people are locked in in this race,” Madonna said. “There’s a relatively small number of undecided voters. And it may turn out that what they do might make a difference, but it’s probably more important for the campaigns to get out their base of voters.”For readers who have decided not to ignore the polls: Franklin & Marshall released a poll on Thursday morning that showed Biden up by 6 points in the must-win state, where averages have Biden ahead by 4.1 points.Other state-level pollsters, including the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, have expanded their methodologies since the final days of 2016.Christopher Borick, the poll director, said that this year the poll was not only looking to the most familiar categories for insights on voter behavior – gender, age, region, party and race – but had also added one more category: educational attainment.“We had never included educational attainment as a variable in our weighting formula, largely because it never mattered,” Borick said. “When you went back historically over time, if you had weighted, it didn’t do much – it was a wash. But now we’re seeing more of a divide, where the upper-level attainment are voting one way and the lower are voting the other way. And that really started to emerge in this decade and blossom in 2016, to the point where I think it’s silly to ignore that.“And so we are now weighting with education attainment, and it does slightly move the polls. So our last poll had Joe Biden up four, with an educational weight built in. If we had not done that, like we did not in 2016, his lead would have been six points.” Communicating the limits of pollingOf 453 pollsters ranked by the FiveThirtyEight data analysis web site, the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion survey is one of only six to be awarded the top rating of A+. The poll gets the top rating based on its reliable track record, minimal observable bias, methodological rigor and the fact that it does the expensive, difficult, time-consuming kind of polling, meaning live telephone interviews, including calling cellphones.Muhlenberg’s last poll of the presidential field in Pennsylvania before the 2016 election had Clinton with a narrow, single-digit lead. The actual result – Trump won the state by less than 1% – was within the poll’s margin of error. Statistically speaking, the poll was not wrong.But Borick points out that when the gap between a poll number and an election result falls across the line separating winner from loser, it’s impossible to tell anyone the poll was not wrong.“If you looked at 2012, the polls were just about as off with Barack Obama against Mitt Romney, and they understated Obama’s performance that year,” Borick said. “But no one really cared at the end, if Obama won by one point or four points or five points, because it was all on the same side of the ledger. The error was going in the direction of the person that won it anyway.”“If you cross over to the other side, by even one vote, two votes, half a per cent, whatever – it changes the whole outcome, but the math isn’t all that different.”This election cycle could prove unusually challenging for pollsters because of a significant climb in the number of voters casting ballots early and via mail, said Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight. Silver forecast all 50 state results correctly in the 2012 presidential election and was one of the few polling analysts to articulate clearly on the eve of the 2016 election that Trump had a path to victory.“I do think the transition to high rates of mail voting is one of the bigger potential sources of polling error, especially with the mail vote likely to be disproportionately Democratic, although it’s hard to know in which direction the error might occur,” Silver tweeted this week.Borick said it was down to pollsters, especially academic pollsters, to explain what their results mean to a public that does not always think about election outcomes in terms of percentage likelihood and margin-of-error.“I think pollsters, people that do public opinion research, want to be able to give citizens a sense of where the broader public is on issues, on races, and to do that accurately. And to also educate about the limits of the very things we do,” Borick said.“We sample. We take small groups to make inferences about big groups. And that inherently has error involved in it. And trying to communicate the reality of what we do is a big role for us.”Bodine, the Arizona organizer, says those lessons are not for him.“Democrats should not take anything for granted, and my advice for them is to call up their local Democratic party and get active,” he said. “Stop yelling at the TV, stop complaining about what they see on the news and get out there and do something about it.”
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo met with Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Dendias in the northern Greek city of Thessaloniki Monday, the first leg of a five-day regional tour that will include Italy, the Vatican and Croatia. Tension in the eastern Mediterranean is to feature prominently during Pompeo's two-day stay in Greece, which will include a visit to the Souda Bay naval base on the southern island of Crete Tuesday. Frequently testy relations between Greece and neighboring Turkey have deteriorated sharply this year, particularly over maritime boundaries and exploration rights in the eastern Mediterranean.
Japan Airlines is ditching the phrase "ladies and gentlemen" and instead embracing gender neutral terms during in-flight and airport announcements from next month, the company said Monday.
Follow the latest updates
Armenian separatists in the breakaway region of Nagorny Karabakh said Monday 15 more of its fighters have been killed in a flare-up of a territorial dispute, bringing the total death toll to 39 as the fighting entered a second day.
Global shares were mostly higher Monday, ahead of the first U.S. presidential debate and a national holiday in China later in the week. China is celebrating its National Day and Mid-Autumn festival on Oct. 1, followed by a weeklong holiday through Oct. 8. China's statistical bureau reported Sunday that industrial profits rose 19% in August from a year earlier, as the economy recovered from the pandemic downturn.