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What the 13 Republican senators planning to challenge the Electoral College in Trump's favor can and can't do to delay Biden's presidency

Trump
AP Photo/Patrick Semansky
  • Hundreds of congressional Republicans are poised to mount a formal challenge to President-elect Joe Biden's Electoral College win in at least one but possibly multiple states.

  • Vice President Mike Pence, acting as the Senate president, will preside over a joint session of the new 117th Congress on January 6 to formally certify each state's slates of presidential electors one at a time.

  • Several House lawmakers and 12 Republican senators have expressed their intention to challenge slates of Electoral College votes from multiple states that voted for Biden.

  • When the members raise their objections, both chambers of Congress will leave the joint session to go debate and vote separately for two hours on whether to accept or reject the state's electors.

  • The effort, however, is unlikely to succeed or achieve much beyond delaying the proceedings for a few hours, since both chambers would have to vote by a simple majority to reject a state's electors, and President Donald Trump would need multiple states to be rejected to change the election result.

  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.

President Donald Trump and hundreds of Republican lawmakers are planning a last-ditch attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 election by directly challenging state's slates of electors in Congress, but it's unlikely that they'll be able to reverse the president's loss.

At least 12 members of the Senate will join a slew of House Republicans in raising a challenge to at least one and possibly multiple slates of electors from states that voted for President-elect Joe Biden. The major swing states that backed Biden and have been subject to the most legal challenges during and after the election are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

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Sen. Josh Hawley of Missouri led the pack by announcing on December 30 his intention to challenge slates of Electoral College votes, specifically calling out the influence of "Big Tech" as well as Pennsylvania's state election laws that he opposed.

Three days later, a group of 11 other GOP senators led by Sen. Ted Cruz said in a joint letter that they would also raise objections to "disputed states" that voted for Biden until Congress votes to appoint an election commission to conduct "an emergency 10-day audit" of the election results. It is unlikely that Congress will agree to do so, and it remains unclear what the "emergency audit" will entail.

The letter's signatories include Sens. Marsha Blackburn and Bill Hagerty of Tennessee, Sen. Mike Braun of Indiana, Sen. Steve Daines of Montana, Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, Sen. John Kennedy of Louisiana, Sen. James Lankford of Oklahoma, Sen. Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming, Sen. Roger Marshall of Kansas, and Sen. Tommy Tuberville of Alabama.

Sen. Kelly Loeffler of Georgia also separately announced her intention to challenge electoral votes on January 4.

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Vice President Joe Biden shows the certificate of the Electoral College vote for Ohio to House Speaker John Boehner of Ohio in the House Chamber during the counting of electoral votes on Capitol Hill in Washington, Friday, Jan. 4, 2013. AP Photo/Susan Walsh

In late December, Politico and Axios reported that a number of conservative House Republicans met at the White House to discuss their plan with Trump, White House lawyers, and Vice President Mike Pence to raise an objection to slates of electors.

The lawmakers present included Rep. Mo Brooks of Alabama, Rep. Andy Biggs of Arizona, Rep. Matt Gaetz of Florida, Reps. Jody Hice and Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio, Rep. Scott Perry of Pennsylvania, and Rep. Louie Gohmert of Texas, according to Politico.

After the meeting, CNN reported that up to 140 House Republicans may end up challenging at least one state's slate of electors.

In the weeks following the election, Trump and his allies spread unfounded claims of widespread voter and election fraud but lost upwards of 40 legal challenges seeking to subvert or overturn the results of the 2020 presidential race.

Trump's allies failed to successfully pressure state election officials to delay certifying election results and also fell short in compelling Republican state legislatures in places that voted for Biden to appoint separate slates of presidential electors in an effort to force Congress to vote on which one to accept. 

On December 14, slates of presidential electors met in all 50 states and the District of Columbia to formally cast their votes for president and vice president, again affirming Biden's victory with 306 electoral votes compared to 232 for Trump, and short-circuiting many of the outstanding and potential legal challenges to election results.

Lawmakers can't challenge the Electoral College nationwide - it must be done on a state-by-state basis

Even though all 538 designated presidential electors already voted in December, the full legal process of making Biden president isn't quite finished yet. 

At 1 p.m. on January 6, Pence, acting in his capacity as the president of the Senate, will preside over a joint session of the 117th Congress to formally count the Electoral College votes. A teller will read aloud the certificates of votes cast by the electors representing all 50 states and Washington, DC, in alphabetical order to finalize the vote count.

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President Donald Trump listens as Vice President Mike Pence speaks at a coronavirus briefing in February 2020. Alex Wong/Getty Images

If no members raise an objection to a state's electors, that state's slate of electors is accepted.

The Electoral Count Act of 1887 lays out the process and guidelines for members of Congress to challenge a state's electors. It stipulates that at least one lawmaker from each chamber must raise a challenge in order for Congress to take it up.

When lawmakers raise a challenge to a state's slate of electors, both chambers of Congress, the Senate and the House, would separately split up to debate for a maximum of two hours and then vote on whether to accept or reject the electors.

Lawmakers cannot challenge all the electoral votes cast throughout the entire country for a given candidate. If they wish to challenge multiple states' electors, they must challenge each state individually. The Senate president must count the slates of electors in alphabetical order, and cannot continue the count until after a challenge to a state's electoral votes is fully resolved.

The text of the ECA says that chambers of Congress can vote to reject a state's slate of electoral votes that were "lawfully certified" by a state's governor if those votes were not "regularly given," according to the National Task Force on Election Crises. The language of the ECA does not specify what it would mean for electoral votes to not be "regularly given."

Both chambers would need to vote by a simple majority - over 50% - to reject a given state's presidential electors, according to the Congressional Research Service.

Democrats have maintained a narrow majority in the House in the 117th Congress. The Senate is likely to be narrowly controlled by Republicans, pending the outcome of two Senate runoffs in Georgia on January 5.

'It would go down like a shot dog'

The number of GOP senators opposed to challenging electors makes it highly unlikely for the Republicans to muster the majority required to reject a state's electors.

Twenty senators; Roy Blunt of Missouri, Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia, Susan Collins of Maine, John Cornyn of Texas, Tom Cotton of Arkansas, Kevin Cramer and John Hoeven of North Dakota, James Inhofe of Oklahoma, Jerry Moran of Kansas, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Mitt Romney of Utah, Rob Portman of Ohio, Ben Sasse of Nebraska, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Richard Shelby of Alabama, John Thune of South Dakota, Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, and Roger Wicker of Mississippi, have all publicly come out against their colleagues' plan to challenge Electoral College votes.

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Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, a top Trump ally, also issued a statement on Sunday opposing Cruz's idea to create an election commission and said his colleagues challenging electoral votes would have to reach "a high bar" to convince him to vote to reject slates of electors.

GOP Senate Majority Whip John Thune of South Dakota echoed the sentiment, telling CNN: "I think the thing they got to remember is, it's not going anywhere. I mean, in the Senate, it would go down like a shot dog."

While members of Congress have a legitimate legal avenue to bring a challenge to states' electors, that process has only been invoked twice since the enactment of the ECA in 1887, the first time in 1969 and the next in 2005.

In January 2005, Rep. Stephanie Tubbs Jones of Ohio and Sen. Barbara Boxer of California, both Democrats, moved to challenge Ohio's 2004 slate of 20 electors for President George W. Bush to bring attention to widespread election mismanagement and voter disenfranchisement throughout the state in the presidential election.

Jones' and Boxers' challenge failed by a margin of 74-1 in the Senate and 267-31 in the House, CNN reported at the time. 

If House and Senate Republicans bring a challenge to Georgia's electoral votes to force a vote, it will likely only delay the proceedings by a few hours and fail to actually change the outcome. If the group challenges multiple states' electors, the process could drag on until the next day, which the ECA provides for.

Even in the improbable event that both chambers did vote to reject Georgia's slate of 16 Biden electors, for example, Biden would still have 290 electoral votes - still far above the 270 Electoral College vote threshold to be president.

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